Navigating trade routes: A comprehensive analysis of India's fruit crop trade dynamics

YASHAVANTA GOUDA S. PATIL; DEEPIKA BONIGALA; V. PRIYANKA; NARESH .

YASHAVANTA GOUDA S. PATIL Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Bengaluru University of Agricultural Sciences, GKVK, Bengaluru - 560 065, India
DEEPIKA BONIGALA ICAR-National Dairy Research Institute, Karnal - 132 001, Haryana, India
V. PRIYANKA Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Bengaluru University of Agricultural Sciences, GKVK, Bengaluru - 560 065, India
NARESH . Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Agriculture, Bengaluru University of Agricultural Sciences, GKVK, Bengaluru - 560 065, India

Keywords: Compound annual growth rate, Markov chain, Trade direction, Trade partners

Abstract

This study has been conducted to analyze the trade dynamics of major fruit crops in Indiaand explore their export trends and market destinations. The trends and variations in the fruit crops export have been analyzed using CAGR and Transitional Probability matrix for the period 2013-14 to 2022-23.The results of the study revealed that major export destinations for Indian fresh fruit are UAE, Bangladesh, Nepal, Malaysia, Netherland, Sri Lanka, UK, Qatar, Oman, and Iraq, they are the stable trade partners for Indian exports. Countries like Saudi Arabia, UK, Singapore Hong Kong, Germany and Baharain have been considered non-stable trade partners for Indian fruit exports. The study also examined the importance of understanding trade dynamics in India’s fruit crop sector which helps policy makers and decision-makers to make better choices in identifying key markets for fruit export, realizing trade patterns and enhancing export competitiveness.